{"id":7493,"date":"2024-09-13T18:23:08","date_gmt":"2024-09-13T10:23:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=7493"},"modified":"2024-09-13T18:23:12","modified_gmt":"2024-09-13T10:23:12","slug":"democrats-cautious-to-claim-election-victory-after-harris-debate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=7493","title":{"rendered":"Democrats cautious to claim election victory after Harris debate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"769\" height=\"447\" src=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/2-5.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7494\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/2-5.png 769w, https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/2-5-300x174.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 769px) 100vw, 769px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Democrats in Washington \u2014 flying high after Vice President Harris\u2019s sharp debate performance this week \u2014 are also forcing themselves back to earth in the face of a stark political reality: The race for the White House is still neck-and-neck, and plenty of work remains if they hope to keep former President Trump from winning a second term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Despite what many saw as a slam dunk for Harris on debate night, those in her party are cautious to claim victory just yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think this election\u2019s over,\u201d said Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-Mich.), the head of the House Democrats\u2019 messaging arm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI thought she did outstanding\u2026 She got under his skin. He was angry. People saw the real Donald Trump. We were reminded about who he was,\u201d Dingell continued. \u201cI clearly was on a high, and [a party official] called me, and immediately brought me back down to earth about what\u2019s ahead the next 58 days.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Initial polling immediately following the debate proved to heavily favor Harris.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A CNN flash poll found 63 percent of viewers believed she outperformed Trump. And a new Reuters\/Ipsos poll, released Thursday, nearly two days later, found her leading Trump by five points, 47 to 42 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Democrats aren\u2019t putting too much stock in individual surveys, particularly with 53 days remaining before Election Day, saying they\u2019ll be focused intently on the seven critical swing states where Harris is largely tied with Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harris\u2019s aggressive schedule \u2013 including how she\u2019s spending money and where she\u2019s choosing to spend her time \u2013 also signals the campaign doesn\u2019t think the election is over either.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Thursday, Harris held two campaign rallies in North Carolina and on Friday, she will make two campaign stops in Pennsylvania \u2013 two states Democrats will need to chart a path to victory. That comes off recent stops in Georgia and across the Sun Belt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Harris campaign also cut ads that feature key moments from the debate, including questions on abortion in which Trump muddled his answers while Harris delivered sharp rebukes of the overturning of Roe v. Wade at the hands of Supreme Court justices Trump appointed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump and his campaign, for their part, have given mixed messages on whether he\u2019ll agree to another debate with Harris. That appeared to solidify on Thursday, when Trump, in a Truth Social post, again asserted that he won the debate and that there was no need for another.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>While the debate did little to move the needle so far in a deadlocked election, some key Harris allies say she needs to take some risks to get the attention of critical swing state voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cThe momentum is with her, and in a close election, vibes and momentum matter. But we still have a lot of hard work to do in getting the final few yards in the battleground states,\u201d said Rep. Ro Khanna (D-Calif.). \u201cIt\u2019s a toss-up race \u2013 it\u2019s always been a toss-up race \u2013 and that was a good night for us, but we\u2019re going to continue to need to put up points to bring it over the finish line.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rep. Nanette Barrag\u00e1n (D-Calif.), head of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, offered a similar message, warning that it\u2019s far too early for victory laps.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cIt\u2019s gonna help her,\u201d she said of the debate, \u201cbut there\u2019s a lot of work to do, and this is no time to get complacent. We\u2019ve got to keep pounding the pavement for the next 54 days.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Harris went into the debate leaning into her underdog image and trying to tamp down expectations about how much a debate could change the political reality after a New York Times poll published Sunday found Trump narrowly leading Harris among likely voters nationally, 48 percent to 47 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the days since, Democrats have kept with that theme, saying Harris exceeded expectations but they\u2019re taking nothing for granted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cShe beamed presidential, inspired people to work hard, and got Taylor Swift\u2019s endorsement. That is as close to a perfect night as you can get. But don\u2019t read into my giddiness \u2014 there is a ton of work ahead, and Democrats know that,\u201d said Ivan Zapien, former Democratic National Committee official.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, Democrats have plenty of reason to be encouraged since Harris replaced President Biden at the top of the ticket. In just a matter of weeks, the vice president has closed a gap on Trump, particularly with key demographics, including Black, Hispanic, female and young voters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All told, Harris has a 3.6 percentage point lead over Trump nationally, according to the Decision Desk HQ\/ The Hill aggregation of polls while Biden had been trailing Trump for weeks before the president dropped out of the race in July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But the national popular vote will be less important than the outcome in a handful of battleground states with decisive Electoral College votes. And swing state polling forecasts an even tighter race, with the aggregation from Decision Desk HQ\/ The Hill in Pennsylvania showing Harris with a 0.4 percentage point lead, Harris with a 0.8 percentage point lead in Michigan, a tie with Trump in Arizona, and Trump with a 0.3 percentage point lead in Georgia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>David Thomas, a former aide to Vice President Al Gore, called Tuesday a \u201cvery, very good day for her\u201d but warned against Democrats getting ahead of themselves, alluding to the 2016 election when the party prepared for a Hillary Clinton victory and ultimately lost to Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI don\u2019t think anything\u2019s going to be eased until the election\u2019s done, because we as Democrats have been here before. So I hope, regardless of what the polls are going to say, she\u2019s going to run like she\u2019s one point behind for the next 50 plus days, and I hope that the Democrats around the country will organize like we\u2019re one point behind,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Additionally, Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman of Sabato\u2019s Crystal Ball, a nonpartisan election handicapper based at the University of Virginia, on Wednesday warned against Democrats expecting much change in the polls for Harris.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cDemocrats will come out of last night feeling better about what happened than Republicans will,\u201d they wrote. \u201cThat could have at least some short-term implications for the horse race, which is absurdly close in the polls\u2026 we would advise against jumping to strong conclusions about a changed race based on immediate changes in the numbers, if such changes materialize.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Democrats in Washington \u2014 flying high after Vice President Harris\u2019s sharp debate performance this week \u2014 are also forcing themselves back to earth in the face of a stark political reality: The race for the White House is still neck-and-neck, and plenty of work remains if they hope to keep former President Trump from winning [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":7494,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[2534,1934,1724],"class_list":["post-7493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international","tag-harris","tag-she","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.0 - 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