{"id":10843,"date":"2025-04-24T19:38:06","date_gmt":"2025-04-24T11:38:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843"},"modified":"2025-04-24T19:38:11","modified_gmt":"2025-04-24T11:38:11","slug":"trouble-signs-emerge-for-trump-in-ddhq-the-hill-polling-average","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843","title":{"rendered":"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

President Trump has seen his favorability ratings start to take a hit in the first three months of his presidency amid growing criticism of his handling of the economy and various controversies, according to the initial polling averages from Decision Desk HQ\/The Hill.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The averages show that Trump is currently underwater after starting his term in January with a net positive approval rating. DDHQ\/The Hill\u2019s average had his approval rating above 50 percent for the first days of his presidency. By late April, his average approval rating had fallen under 45 percent.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The averages suggest Trump could fall deeper underwater as he reaches the 100-day mark next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe Democrats should be cautiously optimistic,\u201d said Scott Tranter, the director of data science for DDHQ. \u201cThey\u2019re having a very good batting practice, but we haven\u2019t reached the first inning of the game yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe Republicans, they\u2019re not having the greatest start,\u201d he added. \u201cIt\u2019s not as bad as the first quarter was, in terms of this favorability, approval rating from the first term. So he\u2019s doing better than the first term. And there\u2019s quite a bit to play out in over the next 18 months.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WTEN: budget extender<\/p>\n\n\n\n

DDHQ is maintaining six polling averages measuring Trump\u2019s approval rating and favorability rating, Vice President Vance\u2019s favorability rating, Elon Musk\u2019s favorability rating, the generic congressional ballot and whether voters feel the country is on the right or wrong track.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a whole, the numbers point to some troubling signs for Trump and the GOP as an early indicator of what to expect for next year\u2019s midterm elections.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sign up for the Morning Report
The latest in politics and policy. Direct to your inbox.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Email address
By signing up, I agree to the Terms of Use, have reviewed the Privacy Policy, and to receive personalized offers and communications via email, on-site notifications, and targeted advertising using my email address from The Hill, Nexstar Media Inc., and its affiliates<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump was almost never above water during his first term in office, but he seemed to be initially in his second term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That hasn\u2019t lasted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The average on Wednesday showed Trump with a disapproval rating of 51.7 percent, the highest of his second term so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

On personal favorability, Trump also started out above water in DDHQ\u2019s average but has mostly been in the net negative since early February. The average shows 53 percent view Trump unfavorably and 44.5 percent view him favorably, both also setting the mark for his second term so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The most prominent aspect likely driving the decline may be the economy, an issue that has been one of the president\u2019s greatest strengths since his first run for president in 2016. But recent polling has shown more voters viewing Trump\u2019s handling of the economy unfavorably than favorably, or breaking even at best, as he has carried out his wide-ranging tariff policy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Reuters\/Ipsos poll released Wednesday found Trump\u2019s approval on the economy at 37 percent, the lowest rating of either of his terms. The poll came after significant economic turmoil, particularly in the stock and bond markets, before Trump announced a 90-day pause on what would have been his steepest tariffs yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Several polls have shown that Trump\u2019s trade policy and use of tariffs is unpopular outside of his Republican base and many expect they could harm the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Hill\u2019s Chris Stirewalt noted in his column last week that most presidents experience a \u201choneymoon phase\u201d that lasts for several months before political reality sets in. But he argued that Trump\u2019s position is less fluid than most of his predecessors because he\u2019s been in the Oval Office before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Presidents have historically had weaker approval ratings in their second terms than their first.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSo, it\u2019s a pretty straightforward story. The second-term president who had developed a strong brand on economic performance undertakes a program of economic pain he promises will deliver long-term gain,\u201d Stirewalt wrote. \u201cIf the neighborhood pizza place your family had been visiting every week started putting kale in the crust, you\u2019d expect to see some customer dissatisfaction.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tranter said he would have expected Trump\u2019s approval rating to be lower than it is given how chaotically the market has reacted to Trump\u2019s moves on the economy, owing to continued solid support among Republicans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe markets probably had a more violent reaction than his approval rating has on some of these policies,\u201d he said. \u201cSo what that tells me is, the electorate, specifically his core base, is giving him some breathing room to see how this all plays out.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Stirewalt\u2019s average, Trump\u2019s approval stands at 43.6 percent and disapproval at 51.6 percent, a net approval of \u20138 points. That\u2019s down about 1 point from last week and 2 points from last month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, other polling on those around Trump may also raise concern.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The favorability rating for Musk, whom Democrats have sought to home in on as a target in building backlash to the administration, has a worse net favorability rating than Trump, with 53.6 percent viewing him unfavorably and 40.3 percent viewing him favorably.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tranter said Musk is \u201cequally as toxic\u201d to Democratic voters as Trump, which gives them another \u201cpunching bag\u201d to raise money and enthuse the base. He said if their unfavorable rating gets above the roughly 53 percent it\u2019s at now, then it could be more harmful to the GOP\u2019s prospects for the midterms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThen I think it gets real interesting because that means that he\u2019s really pissing off independents, which are the swing voters that the Republicans need to keep some of these House seats,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vance is in a slightly better spot but still underwater by about 9 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A plurality in the average briefly said the country was heading in the right direction in mid-February, but a majority has said it\u2019s heading in the wrong direction since early last month. For the past two decades, a majority of voters have almost without interruption said the country is on the wrong track, through multiple presidential administrations from different parties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Republicans enjoyed an advantage in the generic congressional ballot, a broad indicator of how the next congressional elections may go, for the first two months of Trump\u2019s term, but Democrats have taken a slight lead since then. But Tranter urged caution about taking too much away for what this means for the midterms<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cIf you\u2019re playing a baseball game, this is [Democrats] having a really good batting practice right before the game starts,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

President Trump has seen his favorability ratings start to take a hit in the first three months of his presidency amid growing criticism of his handling of the economy and various controversies, according to the initial polling averages from Decision Desk HQ\/The Hill. The averages show that Trump is currently underwater after starting his term […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":10844,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[1907,3284,1724],"class_list":["post-10843","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international","tag-his","tag-rating","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"\nTrouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average - LISTEN WORLD<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average - LISTEN WORLD\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"President Trump has seen his favorability ratings start to take a hit in the first three months of his presidency amid growing criticism of his handling of the economy and various controversies, according to the initial polling averages from Decision Desk HQ\/The Hill. The averages show that Trump is currently underwater after starting his term […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"LISTEN WORLD\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-04-24T11:38:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-04-24T11:38:11+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/6-2.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"728\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"447\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Darcy\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/\",\"name\":\"LISTEN WORLD\",\"description\":\"\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":\"required name=search_term_string\"}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/6-2.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/6-2.jpg\",\"width\":728,\"height\":447},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#webpage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843\",\"name\":\"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average - LISTEN WORLD\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#primaryimage\"},\"datePublished\":\"2025-04-24T11:38:06+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-04-24T11:38:11+00:00\",\"author\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#\/schema\/person\/1162f45aa51c894eefc48fd30308af4a\"},\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"\u9996\u9875\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average\"}]},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#\/schema\/person\/1162f45aa51c894eefc48fd30308af4a\",\"name\":\"Darcy\",\"image\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7537ee6b8d37bad39b4bef536dfdfbabb0d66d9d304b0d853fc389e9f7bc082f?s=96&d=wavatar&r=g\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7537ee6b8d37bad39b4bef536dfdfbabb0d66d9d304b0d853fc389e9f7bc082f?s=96&d=wavatar&r=g\",\"caption\":\"Darcy\"},\"url\":\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?author=6\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average - LISTEN WORLD","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average - LISTEN WORLD","og_description":"President Trump has seen his favorability ratings start to take a hit in the first three months of his presidency amid growing criticism of his handling of the economy and various controversies, according to the initial polling averages from Decision Desk HQ\/The Hill. The averages show that Trump is currently underwater after starting his term […]","og_url":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843","og_site_name":"LISTEN WORLD","article_published_time":"2025-04-24T11:38:06+00:00","article_modified_time":"2025-04-24T11:38:11+00:00","og_image":[{"width":728,"height":447,"url":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/6-2.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"Darcy","Est. reading time":"5 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#website","url":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/","name":"LISTEN WORLD","description":"","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":"required name=search_term_string"}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/6-2.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/04\/6-2.jpg","width":728,"height":447},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#webpage","url":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843","name":"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average - LISTEN WORLD","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#primaryimage"},"datePublished":"2025-04-24T11:38:06+00:00","dateModified":"2025-04-24T11:38:11+00:00","author":{"@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#\/schema\/person\/1162f45aa51c894eefc48fd30308af4a"},"breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10843#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"\u9996\u9875","item":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Trouble signs emerge for Trump in DDHQ\/The Hill polling average"}]},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#\/schema\/person\/1162f45aa51c894eefc48fd30308af4a","name":"Darcy","image":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/#\/schema\/person\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7537ee6b8d37bad39b4bef536dfdfbabb0d66d9d304b0d853fc389e9f7bc082f?s=96&d=wavatar&r=g","contentUrl":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/7537ee6b8d37bad39b4bef536dfdfbabb0d66d9d304b0d853fc389e9f7bc082f?s=96&d=wavatar&r=g","caption":"Darcy"},"url":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?author=6"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10843","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10843"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10843\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10845,"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10843\/revisions\/10845"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10844"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10843"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10843"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10843"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}