{"id":10402,"date":"2025-03-28T20:12:16","date_gmt":"2025-03-28T12:12:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10402"},"modified":"2025-03-28T20:12:20","modified_gmt":"2025-03-28T12:12:20","slug":"whole-hog-politics-voters-tell-trump-to-back-off-tariffs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10402","title":{"rendered":"Whole Hog Politics: Voters tell Trump to back off tariffs\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"788\" height=\"435\" src=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-18.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10403\" srcset=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-18.jpg 788w, https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-18-300x166.jpg 300w, https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/1-18-768x424.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 788px) 100vw, 788px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>On the menu: A super Tuesday for race-watchers; GOP special election jitters cost Stefanik U.N. gig; Cuomo in command in NYC mayor race; what a Crockett; forget something?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The big events on the political calendar for next week are both on Tuesday: a gonzo state Supreme Court race in Wisconsin and a special election in Florida to replace Mike Waltz, the national security adviser to President Trump who finds himself at the center of the scandal over sharing state secrets on a text thread.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have lots of goodies on those elections below and gave you a deep dive on the Wisconsin race last week. As for the texting brouhaha, suffice it to say that for now, the political consequences for Republicans will be bad and have been made worse by a response that seems aimed more at saving face with base voters and friendly media outlets than showing persuadable voters that the administration takes national security seriously.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But who knows? In the geyser of controversies spewing constantly out of this White House, something will probably soon enough replace \u201cNew phone, Houthis\u201d as the hot topic. Not to say that the issues aren\u2019t serious, only that the public attention span, even for a juicy scandal like this one, is short. Democrats won\u2019t be running on the issue next year, even if it will inform an overall narrative about incompetence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let me suggest that the more significant date on the calendar for next week is not whatever hearings will be held on the text blunder or Tuesday\u2019s elections, but rather on Wednesday when, after a series of false starts, the president says he will impose massive tariffs on imported goods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is, of course, possible that Trump will flinch again. His April 2 deadline for a 25 percent tariff on all imported automobiles as well as a slate of other levies his trade team has been working up on nations around the globe is entirely self-imposed. Trump may, as he has before, blunt the effects or waive some of them entirely.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Rep. Kat Cammack (R-FL) discusses Congressional proxy voting on &#8220;The Hill on NewsNation&#8221;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Next<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stay<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>How hard he swings the hammer may be influenced by the release Friday of the latest inflation figures. A jump in consumer prices may drive markets down and again cause Trump to mitigate the \u201cdisruptions\u201d from his policies. But on the political balance sheet, it will still probably be marked down as a loss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sign up for the Morning Report<br>The latest in politics and policy. Direct to your inbox.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Email address<br>By signing up, I agree to the Terms of Use, have reviewed the Privacy Policy, and to receive personalized offers and communications via email, on-site notifications, and targeted advertising using my email address from The Hill, Nexstar Media Inc., and its affiliates<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The catalog of bad things for politicians generally falls into one of two categories: Those that undermine a strength and those that reinforce a weakness. In politics, it is no good to live down to the expectations of your opponents, but it is even worse to not meet the expectations of your supporters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Based on the most obvious interpretation of the results of the 2024 presidential election, Trump won a return ticket to the White House on the strength of two issues, the economy and immigration. Those were the subjects on which Trump most consistently thumped former Vice President Kamala Harris and which voters ranked as their top issues last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s certainly still true on immigration, where Trump continues to enjoy his strongest approval ratings of any issue. The most recent NBC News poll is typical: 55 percent approved of his handling of border security and immigration, a full 8 points better than his overall approval rating of 47 percent. Growing concerns about Trump\u2019s methods may dampen the mood on immigration, but for now, it is the issue that not only unites Republicans, but also satisfies enough of the swing voters who came his way last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So what\u2019s holding Trump\u2019s overall number underwater at a negative 4.4 point rating in this week\u2019s average? Voters haven\u2019t been too thrilled with Trump on his handling of foreign policy, but outside of a major international crisis, the electorate is seldom much moved by foreign affairs. The problem, of course, is the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The recession fears that were tanking markets have somewhat abated, but consumers (which is to say voters) remain anxious, driving the major metric of expected consumer spending down to its lowest level since the middle of the pandemic. Some of this may be the uncertainty among the millions of federal workers and contractors as government layoffs continue, but economists seem to be putting most of the blame on fears of a trade war and higher prices as tariffs are locked in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That\u2019s reflected in Trump\u2019s approval ratings in a slew of recent polls.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump got a boffo (for him) 49 percent overall job approval rating in the latest Fox News poll, but just 43 percent approved of his handling of the economy, for a net economy rating of negative 13 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ditto in the most recent CNN poll, which found 45 percent approval overall, but 44 percent on the economy, for a net economy rating of negative 1 point. Even pollsters that typically show rosier numbers for Trump, like the methodologically dubious Morning Consult, show Trump underwater on the economy for the first time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And that same NBC News poll that showed Trump with clear majority support on immigration? Just 44 percent were happy with the president\u2019s performance on the economy for a net economy rating of negative 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What\u2019s notable here is that Trump\u2019s bad numbers on the economy are not being driven by pro-business Republicans or the traditional conservatives who typically abhor tariffs. In Gallup surveys taken over the first two weeks of March, Republicans gave Trump an A on the economy with 90 percent approval \u2014 higher than on any other issue. What killed Trump\u2019s number, which clocked in at only 41 percent overall on the economy, was that just 34 percent of independent voters, the majority-makers in the electorate \u2014 gave him a thumbs-up on the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In summer 2021, then-President Biden called inflation \u201ctemporary\u201d and referred to higher prices as \u201ctransitory effects\u201d of supply chain disruptions from the pandemic. He made what appeared to be a politically obtuse claim because he was trying to calm moderate Democrats in Washington who were getting anxious about the effects of increased government spending on inflation. Biden\u2019s argument was that Democrats should plow ahead on new deficit spending because the higher prices would pass before the additional trillions from infrastructure spending and another stimulus package \u2014 what was then the Green New Deal but would become the inaptly named Inflation Reduction Act \u2014 kicked in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Biden blew off voters\u2019 concerns because he had convinced himself of the rosier outlook on his policies. He wasn\u2019t lying about inflation, he was just willing to believe the version of the truth that led to him getting more of the things he wanted. Obsessed with turning the post-COVID-19 recovery into a transformational period that would build his legacy, Biden saw what he wanted to see.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On Wednesday, Trump is threatening to repeat Biden\u2019s mistakes. No doubt he and his supporters believe that the benefits of protectionism will arrive soon enough to offset the surge in prices that tariffs are bound to bring, just as Biden and his advisers thought about new spending. It\u2019s a mighty big gamble on an idea that has never worked before. And if Trump bets wrong, it\u2019s a political problem that will long outlive anything else that comes out of next week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The political class cares a great deal about text-thread scandals and pricey special elections, but persuadable voters care about prices. Those priorities brought Trump back into power, but could soon enough boomerang on his party.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Holy croakano! We welcome your feedback, so please email us with your tips, corrections, reactions, amplifications, etc. at WHOLEHOGPOLITICS@GMAIL.COM. If you\u2019d like to be considered for publication, please include your real name and hometown. If you don\u2019t want your comments to be made public, please specify.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NUTRITIONAL INFORMATION<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trump job performance<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Average approval: 46.4 percent<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Average disapproval: 50.8 percent<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Net acore: Negative 4.4 points<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Change from last week: +1.8 points<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>[Average includes: Ipsos\/Reuters: 45 percent approve \u2013 51 percent disapprove; Fox News: 49 percent approve \u2013 51 percent disapprove; Echelon: 49 percent approve \u2013 48 percent disapprove; NBC News: 47 percent approve \u2013 51 percent disapprove; Quinnipiac: 42 percent approve \u2013 53 percent disapprove]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>GOPers now shrug at TikTok ban<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Asked of Republicans: Would you support or oppose the U.S. government banning TikTok?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>March 2023 Now<br>Support 60 percent 39 percent<br>Oppose 19 percent 28 percent<br>Not sure 21 percent 33 percent<br>[Pew Research Center American Trends Panel]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>ON THE SIDE: LEAPING LIZARDS<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The New York Times: \u201cIguanas inhabit tropical, subtropical and desert regions of the Americas\u2014but surprisingly, they\u2019re also found on a few incredibly remote Pacific islands, such as Fiji. Exactly how iguanas could have reached these islands in the first place is a hotly debated topic. \u2026 Now [scientists] have offered an answer to that question, and it involves a record-breaking journey. In a study \u2026 they suggest the lizards hitched a 5,000-mile ride on floating vegetation from the western coast of North America within the past 34 million years. That trip would be the longest transoceanic dispersal of any terrestrial vertebrate known to scientists. \u2026 After studying the DNA of more than 200 iguana specimens from museum collections worldwide, the team determined that Fiji iguanas \u2026 are most closely related to the North American desert iguana genus. \u2026 Previous theories \u2026 had even suggested they were the sole survivors of an ancient iguana lineage that populated more regions of the Pacific.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>PRIME CUTS<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>High-stakes Wisconsin Supreme Court race concludes Tuesday: NewsNation: \u201cThe Wisconsin Supreme Court race \u2026 could have ripple effects nationwide. The race is officially nonpartisan, but endorsements and funds from outside the state have pulled politics into the fray, with Presidents Donald Trump and Barack Obama offering endorsements and billionaires including Elon Musk, George Soros and Illinois Gov. J.B. Pritzker donating to campaigns. Wisconsin voters have been bombarded with attack ads. One mailer read, \u201cSusan Crawford will destroy gun rights in Wisconsin.\u201d Another claimed, \u201cElon Musk thinks the Wisconsin Supreme Court is for sale.\u201d \u2026 How this race shapes up could influence other races, with Democrats putting out attack ads against Musk. That could be a strategy used in other races if it succeeds.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Spending surge could push race past $100 million: USA Today: \u201cCombined, spending on the race has already surpassed the $51 million record for the country\u2019s most expensive judicial election, set two years ago also in Wisconsin. That number this year could exceed $100 million. The largest chunk of change has come from the pockets of the world\u2019s richest man. Musk has gone all in on the swing state that Trump won by less than a point in 2024, dropping $19.3 million on the race, according to state campaign records. That includes his $2 million gift to the state\u2019s GOP last week, as well as spending by two groups tied to the billionaire. Musk\u2019s political action committee, America PAC, and the political nonprofit he funds, Building America\u2019s Future, have together contributed about $16 million toward boosting the right-leaning candidate\u2019s campaign.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Massive turnout shatters record: Wisconsin Public Radio: \u201cNearly 408,000 people have already cast their ballots ahead of next week\u2019s election, which includes the high-profile Wisconsin Supreme Court race. The number of people choosing early, in-person voting is nearly double what it was during the state\u2019s last Supreme Court race. \u2026 As of Tuesday, clerks across Wisconsin had received about 140,000 more absentee ballots than they did ahead of the 2023 state Supreme Court election, according to data from the state\u2019s elections commission. That works out to an increase of more than 52 percent year to year.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Warning signs for GOP in Pennsylvania state Senate loss: The Hill: \u201cDemocrat James Malone won an open Pennsylvania state Senate seat in a major upset in a district that comfortably voted for President Trump in November, according to a Decision Desk HQ projection. Malone, the mayor of East Petersburg, narrowly defeated Republican Lancaster County Commissioner Josh Parsons to represent Senate District 36 for the remainder of former state Sen. Ryan Aument\u2019s (R) term. \u2026 Parsons was considered likely to win in the conservative-leaning district, which Trump carried in November with 57 percent of the vote, and McCormick won with 56 percent. Aument had even been unopposed in his last election in 2022. But Malone was able to overcome the odds, and the Democratic Party continued its strong performance in under-the-radar elections since Trump took office. Democrats notched another major upset in a strongly conservative Iowa state Senate district in January, also holding the Westchester County executive seat in New York, among other more low-key successes.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Parties play expectations game in Tuesday special election to replace Waltz: The Wall Street Journal: \u201cRepublican political operatives have grown concerned about a special election in Florida, with the race for a solidly red House seat emerging as more competitive than expected, creating a potential headache for the GOP two months into President Trump\u2019s second term. While the party still largely expects candidate Randy Fine, a fiery Florida state lawmaker, to win former Rep. Mike Waltz\u2019s 6th Congressional District seat, the party is rushing ahead of the April 1 election day to reach Republican voters and make sure they turn out. Waltz resigned the seat in the Daytona Beach area to become Trump\u2019s national security adviser. Trump allies worry a weak showing in the Florida contest would be read\u2014fairly or unfairly\u2014as a referendum on the president\u2019s record headed into the midterm elections in 2026, when control of the Senate and House are on the line.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Special election worries sink Stefanik U.N. bid: The Hill: \u201cThe White House has informed the chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that it is withdrawing Rep. Elise Stefanik\u2019s (R-N.Y.) nomination to serve as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, reflecting how critical her vote is in the House to passing President Trump\u2019s agenda.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Populist fury fuels Dem rallies: The Washington Post: \u201cDemocrats are turning up by the thousands at rallies across the country \u2014 showing the stirrings of a populist uprising against President Donald Trump\u2019s drastic cuts to government agencies and demanding that their leaders fight harder to save programs that benefit the middle class. \u2026 And at gatherings held by Democratic Rep. Ro Khanna in key California swing districts last weekend, questioners who took the microphone demanded that their party\u2019s leaders do more to stop Trump and Musk from slashing programs that serve vulnerable populations such as veterans and Social Security beneficiaries. \u2026 Mike Arnold, a 74-year-old Air Force veteran from Cathedral City, California, said he attended a Khanna event in Norco this past weekend, because he \u2018got tired of screaming at the TV.\u2019 [He] said he isn\u2019t sure the country will make it to Democratic elections in 2026.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>SHORT ORDER<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Poll puts Cuomo way ahead in New York City\u2019s June mayoral primary \u2014 The Hill<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Colin Allred ponders another Senate run, this time against a divided GOP \u2014 The Dallas Morning News<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Dems weigh backing independents in red-state Senate races \u2014 Split Ticket<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Maine Dems set for factious gov primary \u2014 The Downballot<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>24 percent of voters want to end federal funding for public broadcasting \u2014 Pew Research<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>TABLE TALK<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Riiiiiiight \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cI wasn\u2019t thinking about the governor\u2019s condition\u2014I was thinking about the planes, trains, and automobiles he used to transfer migrants into communities led by Black mayors, deliberately stoking tension and fear among the most vulnerable.\u201d \u2014 Statement from Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) saying that calling Texas Gov. Greg Abbott \u201cGovernor Hot Wheels\u201d was not a jab at his use of a wheelchair.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The red menace<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201cWell, he is a puppet. But, no.\u201d \u2014 Paula Kerger, the chief executive of PBS, when asked sarcastically at a House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform if Elmo is a Communist.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>You should email us! Write to WHOLEHOGPOLITICS@GMAIL.COM with your tips, kudos, criticisms, insights, rediscovered words, wonderful names, recipes, and, always, good jokes. Please include your real name \u2014 at least first and last \u2014 and hometown. Make sure to let us know in the email if you want to keep your submission private. My colleague, the presently vacated Nate Moore, and I will look for your emails and then share the most interesting ones and my responses here. Clickety clack!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>FOR DESSERT: PHONE, WALLET, KEYS \u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>KABC: \u201cA United Airlines flight that left Los Angeles bound for China Saturday had to turn around after the pilot realized they did not have their passport on them. United flight 198 departed the Los Angeles International Airport Saturday at 2 p.m. and was headed to Shanghai. Two hours into the flight, the plane had to turn around and divert to San Francisco after the pilot realized they did not have their passport for entry into China. United provided meal vouchers and compensation to the more than 250 passengers on board, according to a statement. A new crew took over the flight, which took off again a few hours later. It eventually landed in China about six hours behind schedule.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chris Stirewalt is the politics editor for The Hill and NewsNation, the host of \u201cThe Hill Sunday\u201d on NewsNation and The CW, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and the author of books on politics and the media.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On the menu: A super Tuesday for race-watchers; GOP special election jitters cost Stefanik U.N. gig; Cuomo in command in NYC mayor race; what a Crockett; forget something? The big events on the political calendar for next week are both on Tuesday: a gonzo state Supreme Court race in Wisconsin and a special election in [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":10403,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[3219,1724,838],"class_list":["post-10402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-international","tag-race","tag-trump","tag-will"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v19.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Whole Hog Politics: Voters tell Trump to back off tariffs\u00a0 - LISTEN WORLD<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/tingchao.xyz\/?p=10402\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Whole Hog Politics: Voters tell Trump to back off tariffs\u00a0 - LISTEN WORLD\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On the menu: A super Tuesday for race-watchers; GOP special election jitters cost Stefanik U.N. gig; Cuomo in command in NYC mayor race; what a Crockett; forget something? 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